26 U 0206:23-09-26 0206:25-09-26 12:56:12.000 0206:23-09-26 utf8 0 Osu Text txt Computermedien c Online-Ressource cr 1984934880 10.1177/15697371251399441 KXP 1984934880 eng rda 2026 https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/15697371251399441?download=true application/pdf H ZZ https://doi.org/10.1177/15697371251399441 R ZZ Uncovering the test pilot's risk management framework Benjamin Luther, Indra Gunawan, and Nam Nguyen Benjamin Luther VerfasserIn aut 1881564789 Tpv3 gnd/1321684010 piz Gunawan Indra VerfasserIn aut 1985125196 Tpv3 gnd/1420426710 piz Nguyen Nam VerfasserIn aut 12 2026 2 5 95-107 Enthalten in 585795568 Obv zdb/2466708-0 314543848 1875-9173 Risk and decision analysis London Sage Publications 2009 Online-Ressource 202600000120002905 FS risk management DE-206 FS decision-making DE-206 FS complexity DE-206 FS uncertainty DE-206 FS socio-technical system DE-206 49 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift Article 26 PICA 23-09-26 09:12:25.000 utf8 23-09-26 6877 0206 This study explores how experimental flight test professionals manage catastrophic risk in complex socio-technical systems. Using an ethnographic, mixed-methods approach with survey (n = 49; validation n = 21), interviews, and observation of flight test practitioners, the research found that flight test teams maintained both statistical (Bayesian, ISO 31000-based) and non-statistical (Precautionary, heuristic) methods in parallel. Statistical tools were applied where repeatable, deterministic elements permitted probabilistic reasoning. While resource-intensive Precautionary controls and experienced-practitioner heuristics were used where novelty, emergence, and an absence of prior knowledge precluded calculation of the probability of a hazard. Practitioners commonly reported corporate mandates to probability approaches but treated those outputs with caution or disregard when clearly unsuitable. The dual approach traded efficiency for effectiveness, ensuring identified risks were managed even when statistical measures were unreliable. Aligning statistical tools with deterministic system elements, and precautionary, heuristic approaches with complex system elements offers a pragmatic, empirically grounded template for managing catastrophic risks in complex systems. This case study invites managers and researchers to reconsider reliance on probability where uncertainty is irreducible. 23-09-26 23-09-26 09:12:25.000 utf8 23-09-26 6877 0206 5037809967 23-09-26 x1z